Causal
medium strength
Narrative Connection
How these two moments in the story relate
Why These Connect
The narrative assertion
"Vash refuses to leave with Picard, proposing instead to marry Sir Guy as a means of escape, leading to a tense exchange where she asserts her self-reliance. After vash betrays Picard, we learn is was a ploy."
About Causal Connections
A directly causes B. The first event sets forces in motion that produce the second. These are the load-bearing connections of plot--remove one and the story structure collapses.